CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff3b392d966fd2f226f05ac6ae8f09d85c4bc4567713ac7d96e8979e98239ac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof Voca, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Marsborne | 0c | 7,803$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Marsborne | 2c | 6,520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Marsborne | 49c | 2,473$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.86 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Voca | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Voca | 79c | 1,275$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Marsborne | 20c | 941.67$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Voca | 52c | 872.17$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.9 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Voca | 78c | 864.24$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Marsborne | 22c | 781.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Marsborne | 20c | 487.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Voca | 50c | 358.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Marsborne | 50c | 315.76$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Marsborne | 50c | 296.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Voca | 71c | 294.64$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marsborne | 22c | 264.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Marsborne | 49c | 260.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Marsborne | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Marsborne | 51c | 214.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Marsborne | 8c | 204.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Voca | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marsborne | 23c | 175$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Voca | 51c | 171.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Voca | 51c | 168.41$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Marsborne | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marsborne | 26c | 99.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Voca | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Voca | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Voca | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Voca | 59c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Marsborne | 14c | 74.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Voca | 79c | 74.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marsborne | 22c | 73.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Marsborne | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Voca | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Voca | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Marsborne | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…b7b4backed Voca | 77c | 47.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marsborne | 40c | 43.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Voca | 51c | 37.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…9facbacked Voca | 76c | 32.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…20a3backed Voca | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Voca | 77c | 22.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Voca | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…b005backed Voca | 80c | 17.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerVoca won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.