Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7dbba1cc4b3398221a2248392f5b9d13383d22364bcf0037cd97990c7e57837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DetonatioN FocusMeof CTBC Flying Oyster, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 56c | 8,513$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.19 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 50c | 3,389$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.5 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 2,762$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.41 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 50c | 1,649$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.5 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 1,107$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.78 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 1,030$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.84 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 53c | 887.99$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 571.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 47c | 454.55$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.64 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 50c | 393.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 48c | 206.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 47c | 201.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 54c | 108.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 47c | 106.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 WinnerDetonatioN FocusMe won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.