TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DetonatioN FocusMeof CTBC Flying Oyster, DetonatioN FocusMe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked CTBC Flying Oyster72c6,115$4,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,375.6967056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed CTBC Flying Oyster1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed CTBC Flying Oyster10c3,621$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.492941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked CTBC Flying Oyster58c2,028$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.091,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc903…b175backed DetonatioN FocusMe58c1,926$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.1917744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe27c1,734$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.041,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed CTBC Flying Oyster4c1,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed DetonatioN FocusMe30c1,500$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4ab3backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c1,155$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.66058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed DetonatioN FocusMe24c999.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9952750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked DetonatioN FocusMe37c998.33$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.561,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed CTBC Flying Oyster76c985.53$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.872,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed DetonatioN FocusMe27c832.25$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.5418742.8%80 W · 107 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed DetonatioN FocusMe70c805.53$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.21,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed DetonatioN FocusMe30c704.91$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.0776639.6%303 W · 463 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked DetonatioN FocusMe71c635.13$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1776955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe30c600$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4206543.1%28 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed CTBC Flying Oyster47c598.14$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.721,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed CTBC Flying Oyster74c589.17$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.971,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed CTBC Flying Oyster39c529.41$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.413,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed DetonatioN FocusMe30c499.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.999347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe31c496.8$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.161,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked DetonatioN FocusMe25c494.91$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.1887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed DetonatioN FocusMe33c427.53$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4430441.8%127 W · 177 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe28c399.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed DetonatioN FocusMe26c396.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.7417041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac8…45c4backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c382.71$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.0451044.9%229 W · 281 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster15c318.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.163,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed CTBC Flying Oyster9c288.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.111,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed CTBC Flying Oyster36c257.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.511,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed DetonatioN FocusMe68c252.41$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7720756%116 W · 91 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15056341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DetonatioN FocusMe30c247.12$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.982,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed CTBC Flying Oyster22c243$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.581,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed DetonatioN FocusMe45c218.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4419839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed CTBC Flying Oyster62c189.79$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4354944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked DetonatioN FocusMe76c176.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked DetonatioN FocusMe32c166.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.2156744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed DetonatioN FocusMe24c154.54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1317942.5%76 W · 103 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CTBC Flying Oyster28c123.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.191,53943.7%673 W · 866 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked CTBC Flying Oyster37c118.21$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2133124.2%80 W · 251 L-33.2wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed CTBC Flying Oyster40c117$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster25c114.23$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.532,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44df…ae2cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe75c113.93$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.952955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe33c105.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.741,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed CTBC Flying Oyster62c104.02$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6721267%142 W · 70 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DetonatioN FocusMe25c102.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.761,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed CTBC Flying Oyster76c95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.241544.6%185 W · 230 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58f…fd67backed CTBC Flying Oyster37c84.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9826346.8%123 W · 140 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed CTBC Flying Oyster22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.141,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf254…3a54backed CTBC Flying Oyster69c71.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.074141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster71c63.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.381,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed DetonatioN FocusMe44c61.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.046627.3%18 W · 48 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed CTBC Flying Oyster33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.843233.8%146 W · 286 L-20.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c59.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5614360.8%87 W · 56 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe58c59$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0141651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe46c57.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.974854.2%26 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed CTBC Flying Oyster33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1542124.7%104 W · 317 L-51.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed CTBC Flying Oyster24c50.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0275142.1%316 W · 435 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…b387backed CTBC Flying Oyster75c50.25$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8664749.5%320 W · 327 L+3.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed DetonatioN FocusMe29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.599338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11a…1002backed CTBC Flying Oyster39c49.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.379050%45 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster55c45.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1384041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed DetonatioN FocusMe66c44.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.065757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed DetonatioN FocusMe78c44.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7434056.2%191 W · 149 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed CTBC Flying Oyster28c42.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9926154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed CTBC Flying Oyster33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.272637.7%274 W · 452 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdda5…2471backed CTBC Flying Oyster61c39.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6323769.6%165 W · 72 L+30.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed CTBC Flying Oyster77c38.42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5979864.3%513 W · 285 L+32.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed CTBC Flying Oyster55c37.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4364451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed CTBC Flying Oyster76c35.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2541156.7%233 W · 178 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DetonatioN FocusMe49c28.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.72,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe68c23.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5479156.1%444 W · 347 L-2.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed CTBC Flying Oyster78c21.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7849366.7%329 W · 164 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…245ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster55c20.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3895253.8%512 W · 440 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked CTBC Flying Oyster77c18.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1535755.7%199 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed CTBC Flying Oyster76c16.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2412763%80 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.