Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7fc4f720a0bbe8c6d8c011ea74870fbfd7e9101b948ac8824748ca3d53d4714
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Team Lynx, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93f6…4814backed Team Lynx | 44c | 2,393$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Power Rangers | 48c | 1,142$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.35 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Team Lynx | 33c | 675.34$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.46 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Power Rangers | 56c | 357.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Power Rangers | 63c | 304.63$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Team Lynx | 43c | 286.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 285.13$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed Power Rangers | 40c | 244.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.86 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Power Rangers | 73c | 209.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Power Rangers | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Power Rangers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Power Rangers | 57c | 180.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Power Rangers | 60c | 173.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Power Rangers | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 155$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…98e1backed Team Lynx | 65c | 154.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Power Rangers | 55c | 151.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 47c | 130.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Power Rangers | 53c | 117.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 46c | 101.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Lynx | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Team Lynx | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Lynx | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Power Rangers | 63c | 95.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Power Rangers | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Lynx | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…be06backed Team Lynx | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Power Rangers | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked Team Lynx | 70c | 43.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 39c | 38.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Lynx | 37c | 37.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Power Rangers | 31c | 35.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Team Lynx | 42c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Power Rangers | 77c | 23.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…1c75backed Power Rangers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Power Rangers | 75c | 13.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 1 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.