CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Arcade Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8035faaf062cf6c7e1661f8e9efa02572209659067a50897488237c063d72a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roosterof Rooster, Arcade Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,812 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed Rooster | 66c | 2,239$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.38 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Arcade Esports | 38c | 577.53$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 555$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Arcade Esports | 39c | 529.54$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rooster | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Arcade Esports | 36c | 240$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Arcade Esports | 32c | 223$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Rooster | 68c | 214.84$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Arcade Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Arcade Esports | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Arcade Esports | 37c | 149.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Arcade Esports | 34c | 119.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Arcade Esports | 32c | 105.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Arcade Esports | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Arcade Esports | 36c | 77.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…8a36backed Arcade Esports | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arcade Esports | 22c | 54.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Arcade Esports | 43c | 53.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Rooster | 27c | 51.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Rooster | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rooster | 70c | 32.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Arcade Esports | 36c | 28.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Rooster | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Rooster | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Rooster | 77c | 18.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Rooster | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Arcade Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 PlayoffsRooster won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Arcade Esports - Map 1 WinnerRooster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.