TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes39c22,815$8,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,86510246.1%47 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c13,885$8,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,169.743546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c6,161$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.915,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c5,545$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.567,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c2,968$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.9266047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,961$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.512,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5854755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c1,289$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.272,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32010345.6%47 W · 56 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c991.27$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.2698552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes22c962.57$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8164143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c938.24$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31936647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No65c796.2$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.091,44151.1%736 W · 705 L-16.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yes44c795.64$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes32c707.48$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1613528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No67c590.56$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4738747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes38c532$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.822542.7%96 W · 129 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes23c430.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes36c417.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No63c410.65$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.942759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes35c361.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.693033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed No58c292.19$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.723941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Yes21c239.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-69%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Yes37c210.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ad…5692backed Yes26c194.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c187.53$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.051,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No63c168.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.273652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes37c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8750…0841backed No63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022349.3%110 W · 113 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked No63c157.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.382673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.511855.9%66 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes35c141.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508836.4%32 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No61c135$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6514257.7%82 W · 60 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010b…b668backed Yes37c123.73$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.29757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No68c120.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.076456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No63c118.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.21,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8510756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes39c113$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.072646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No61c112$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.689058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes37c104.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.813917.9%7 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3467050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No80c91.37$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2728349.1%139 W · 144 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.226346%29 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.18658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.110156.4%57 W · 44 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No63c89.05$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9398653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes38c86.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.027051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c79.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.554650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.259557.9%55 W · 40 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2734…22efbacked No63c60.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.35475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48557.6%49 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49160.4%55 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49959.6%59 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48560%51 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.47959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49359.1%55 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46857.4%39 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.49159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.813842.8%59 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdab9…cdfcbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59861.2%60 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.57957%45 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.57959.5%47 W · 32 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.513252.3%69 W · 63 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked No58c49.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.975141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes32c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3617447.7%83 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes39c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6251140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked No63c40.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked No61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66960.9%42 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes34c39.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3958320.1%117 W · 466 L-37.7wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b8c…2882backed Yes40c38.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.643721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes39c37.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes36c31.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4414954.4%81 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c30.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510539%41 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75463%34 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfabc…a31bbacked No63c29.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked No62c26.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9311553%61 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.753971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.756959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.754669.6%32 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.754560%27 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.