Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8186240458daa96b08719e70df4c4c752c90bd26dc53f44c4bdcc927a0e8ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 18c | 2,252$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.09 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 2,194$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 1,257$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 1,089$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.54 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 18c | 1,050$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 934.01$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.12 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes | 13c | 601.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 549.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Yes | 18c | 446.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 4c | 346.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 18c | 255.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 13c | 185.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 18c | 163.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 37c | 153.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed No | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 12c | 108.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 18c | 97.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 20c | 71.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-24?this page
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?No won
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.