Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd85a456fab2d148d66586688ef91ed715b45634b316f1bc968927163c4bb176d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Atmane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Medvedev | 59c | 3,901$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.74 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Atmane | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Medvedev | 62c | 1,674$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.02 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Medvedev | 60c | 1,125$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.38 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Atmane | 38c | 1,030$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.56 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atmane | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Atmane | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Atmane | 38c | 513.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Atmane | 42c | 298.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Atmane | 45c | 278.28$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Atmane | 38c | 266.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Medvedev | 60c | 251$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeda…a39ebacked Medvedev | 58c | 246.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Atmane | 39c | 230$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Atmane | 45c | 222.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Atmane | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Atmane | 43c | 115.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Atmane | 43c | 102.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Medvedev | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Atmane | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Atmane | 41c | 38.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atmane | 42c | 36.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Atmane | 42c | 33.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Medvedev | 58c | 33.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Atmane | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medvedev | 55c | 25.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Atmane | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 31.6%54 W · 117 L | -21.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Medvedev | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Medvedev | 57c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)this page
- Atmane vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Atmane vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Atmane vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev won
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs MedvedevMedvedev won
- Set 2 Winner: Atmane vs MedvedevMedvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.