Lol · resolved market
LoL: Inferno Drive Tokyo vs L Guide Gaming (BO1) - LJL Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd897104f3c685a63635ca5b9ab290f8ed4308b57dd215bc4b3d85d5a31c7b110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L Guide Gamingof Inferno Drive Tokyo, L Guide Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 20,905$16,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,468.42 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked L Guide Gaming | 21c | 18,888$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,888.35 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked L Guide Gaming | 21c | 1,510$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.54 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L Guide Gaming | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked L Guide Gaming | 23c | 800$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 706.51$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.14 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 48c | 476.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 191.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.76 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46a…f06abacked L Guide Gaming | 51c | 180.83$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…40bbbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 139.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked L Guide Gaming | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed L Guide Gaming | 9c | 120.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…d62ebacked L Guide Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +175%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked L Guide Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked L Guide Gaming | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed L Guide Gaming | 21c | 94.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 74.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…984ebacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 52.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…9ea0backed L Guide Gaming | 23c | 46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…fa79backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 78c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a9…d2a7backed Inferno Drive Tokyo | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…053bbacked Inferno Drive Tokyo | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.