Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd912a0960e0d1a47bd87b7b0c4030e3b0a4aefc98195e153812a791be46f5344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.94 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 62c | 29,542$18,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,226.01 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 3,002$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.17 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 2,200$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 766.1$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 62c | 755.26$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 38c | 755.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 738.01$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.71 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 16c | 700.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 61c | 618.99$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 60c | 569.23$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 40c | 447.23$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.89 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 39c | 406.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 36c | 347.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 39c | 310.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 62c | 299.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 9c | 263$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 62c | 225.83$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 61c | 87.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 38c | 83.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…900cbacked Yes | 36c | 44.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 63c | 37.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 38c | 32.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will PEC Zwolle vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.