Lol · resolved market
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Los Heretics (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd919e6376c880eab7e53355b3d75132cf686c8bdd2890ac1514f36b57511d77f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Hereticsof Berlin International Gaming, Los Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Berlin International Gaming | 0c | 4,700$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 61c | 829.13$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Los Heretics | 69c | 625.91$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.37 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Berlin International Gaming | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Los Heretics | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Los Heretics | 38c | 339.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…492ebacked Los Heretics | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…df88backed Los Heretics | 75c | 168.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Berlin International Gaming | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Berlin International Gaming | 53c | 106.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Berlin International Gaming | 57c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…1f11backed Los Heretics | 43c | 71.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8669backed Los Heretics | 51c | 44.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.