Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd964d3e7b7af1eb4386ccd06c700203f00725b78ee7ea0be6b61d24ba3fb4c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 72c | 1,006$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 725.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.47 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 28c | 280.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 28c | 131$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 28c | 128$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Yes | 28c | 114$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 28c | 101$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 28c | 89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 72c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Yes | 28c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 72c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked No | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed No | 72c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 72c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed No | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 72c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.