Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd40768abddf9ca0d81b883baa7380b54a788c443fadca8ff620d7e53577553e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c57…4a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,036$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…1e2ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,027$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…f4c4backed No | 68c | 698$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…e4edbacked Yes | 32c | 677$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…3e92backed Yes | 32c | 563$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…d210backed Yes | 32c | 559$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…29bbbacked Yes | 32c | 549$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a43…61d9backed Yes | 32c | 542$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c47…8015backed No | 68c | 393$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked No | 68c | 351$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…3123backed No | 68c | 329$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…d7a1backed No | 68c | 288$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…fdbbbacked No | 68c | 284$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…9d85backed No | 68c | 276$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…9e13backed No | 68c | 274$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…9b1fbacked No | 68c | 273$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…9da3backed No | 68c | 268$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…e50ebacked No | 68c | 246$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…4e81backed No | 68c | 244$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 32c | 192$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 133.63$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 108$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked No | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed No | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 31c | 33.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked No | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.