Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Army vs. Navy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd996542b37632c9a51c83631ab0dbd8d3bd65ed4c2751a770a0edd1966d94f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Army, Navy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Army | 41c | 252.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…5a6dbacked Army | 53c | 208$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Navy | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Navy | 47c | 114$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…ea28backed Navy | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Army | 40c | 88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Navy | 60c | 82.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Navy | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…fbefbacked Navy | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…5497backed Army | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…c799backed Army | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…aa19backed Army | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…6817backed Navy | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Navy | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Army | 43c | 26.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…f5c1backed Army | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08a…69b2backed Navy | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c0cdbacked Navy | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.