Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Adrien Burdet vs Mateo Fluri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9a8627c8fe190ac703a0713cbdde397a94ecadd0d43c145214bb1add3981ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adrien Burdetof Adrien Burdet, Mateo Fluri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mateo Fluri | 13c | 5,854$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.54 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrien Burdet | 71c | 4,677$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.77 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Mateo Fluri | 26c | 1,829$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Mateo Fluri | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 105 | 63.8%67 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mateo Fluri | 34c | 1,702$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.26 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mateo Fluri | 17c | 827.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adrien Burdet | 77c | 646.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Adrien Burdet | 73c | 324.83$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mateo Fluri | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Adrien Burdet | 67c | 179.95$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mateo Fluri | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed Mateo Fluri | 34c | 144.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mateo Fluri | 35c | 137.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Mateo Fluri | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mateo Fluri | 28c | 131.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mateo Fluri | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Mateo Fluri | 15c | 120.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Adrien Burdet | 64c | 105.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mateo Fluri | 33c | 94.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mateo Fluri | 33c | 94.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Mateo Fluri | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Mateo Fluri | 39c | 87.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 336 | 48.5%163 W · 173 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mateo Fluri | 35c | 81.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Mateo Fluri | 18c | 70.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Mateo Fluri | 39c | 67.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Mateo Fluri | 35c | 55.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mateo Fluri | 33c | 55.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Mateo Fluri | 19c | 51.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Adrien Burdet | 71c | 42.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Mateo Fluri | 30c | 37.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Adrien Burdet | 72c | 33.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Adrien Burdet | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Adrien Burdet | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.