Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9d00e7492104430d4dbf2bb7d0df4ef697b306f4a4e78a7445e1d20915341f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof St. John's Red Storm, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed St. John's Red Storm | 52c | 9,610$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.29 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.31 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 1,722$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.83 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 1,189$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.66 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 285$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 46c | 269.65$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Georgetown Hoyas | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 136.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 113.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 106.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 95.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 90.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Georgetown Hoyas | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 66.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 58.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed St. John's Red Storm | 55c | 54.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 33.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Georgetown Hoyas | 46c | 26.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-15.5)this page
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-16.5)Georgetown Hoyas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.