Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Ball State Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda01d6ef1098ec97e181560677818f4e84e6cc6a9db462abb29ab9632ff7a2d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball State Cardinalsof Central Michigan Chippewas, Ball State Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,573 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 2,909$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.35 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ball State Cardinals | 57c | 2,523$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.58 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 1,824$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.73 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 961.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.27 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 5c | 690.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 614.07$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 560.15$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 6c | 383.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 345.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 337.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.67 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 4c | 325.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 276.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 225.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 178.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 178.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 149.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 146.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 143.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ball State Cardinals | 55c | 108.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 107.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ball State Cardinals | 57c | 100.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ball State Cardinals | 57c | 89.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 86.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Ball State Cardinals | 72c | 76.47$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 72.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Ball State Cardinals | 57c | 62.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Ball State Cardinals | 57c | 60.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 59.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 22c | 56.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 53.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 49.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Ball State Cardinals | 53c | 44.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 36c | 35.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…1bcfbacked Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 31.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…0975backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 47c | 27.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 43c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Ball State Cardinals | 56c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Ball State Cardinals | 75c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Ball State Cardinalsthis page
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 133.5Over won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 135.5Over won
- Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Ball State Cardinals: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-1.5)Ball State Cardinals won
- Spread: Ball State Cardinals (-2.5)Ball State Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.