Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nottingham: Esther Adeshina vs Urszula Radwanska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda292e20ed3089f7c37cacb2b84cfada138052d123036143092ab203b0468077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esther Adeshinaof Esther Adeshina, Urszula Radwanska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Urszula Radwanska | 27c | 867.1$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Urszula Radwanska | 40c | 840.47$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Esther Adeshina | 70c | 813.42$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Esther Adeshina | 61c | 572.24$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.29 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Esther Adeshina | 67c | 534.49$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Urszula Radwanska | 38c | 518.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Urszula Radwanska | 19c | 344$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Esther Adeshina | 65c | 243.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Esther Adeshina | 61c | 177.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Esther Adeshina | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Urszula Radwanska | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Esther Adeshina | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Esther Adeshina | 58c | 96.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Esther Adeshina | 76c | 94.27$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Urszula Radwanska | 35c | 80.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Urszula Radwanska | 40c | 79.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Urszula Radwanska | 28c | 73.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Urszula Radwanska | 41c | 47.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Esther Adeshina | 58c | 47.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked Urszula Radwanska | 38c | 43.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Urszula Radwanska | 40c | 30.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Urszula Radwanska | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Urszula Radwanska | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Esther Adeshina | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Esther Adeshina | 59c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Esther Adeshina | 66c | 20.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Esther Adeshina | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Esther Adeshina | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Esther Adeshina | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Esther Adeshina | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.