South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda7cb19e9c94dd46aedd9c63d648463562f4c8d6bedeb2739c30697a2c4a654d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 23,072$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.25 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +11.9wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 8c | 16,810$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.48 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Yes | 9c | 10,275$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 8,747$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Yes | 9c | 2,188$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…f8f8backed Yes | 6c | 1,820$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 5c | 1,788$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 3c | 1,264$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 4c | 880.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Yes | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Yes | 5c | 362.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Yes | 7c | 357.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Yes | 14c | 339.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 33c | 308.3$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 5c | 292.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Yes | 10c | 249.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…b368backed Yes | 10c | 188.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…fb61backed Yes | 7c | 168.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…1320backed Yes | 14c | 117.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 116.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 32c | 105.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 68c | 101.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 78.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 31c | 68.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 34c | 55.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 66c | 49.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 32c | 39.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 38.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 76c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.