MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab708c69e9463df1aa646489836eb37e5702276bfdf377724092682cba802ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Kia Tigers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 49c | 842.33$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Kia Tigers | 57c | 609.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 563.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.86 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 302.59$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 245.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Kia Tigers | 48c | 206.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 201.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…531bbacked Kia Tigers | 56c | 193.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e965backed Kia Tigers | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 168.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 140.03$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 99.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 97.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…041cbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 75.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kia Tigers | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 65.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 55.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 54.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…287cbacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 52.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 45.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kia Tigers | 54c | 44.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 41.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 40.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 23.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 23.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 23.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.