Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5584709ee1d359ec60d40f92d4d9db59f743e8899cf28e2923bff71b5d0d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Dakota State Bisonof North Dakota State Bison, South Dakota Coyotes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked South Dakota Coyotes | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota State Bison | 53c | 879$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.01 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed North Dakota State Bison | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed South Dakota Coyotes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Dakota State Bison | 53c | 90.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked North Dakota State Bison | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked South Dakota Coyotes | 45c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed North Dakota State Bison | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-10.5)this page
- South Dakota Coyotes vs. North Dakota State BisonNorth Dakota State Bison won
- South Dakota Coyotes vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 162.5Under won
- South Dakota Coyotes vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 164.5Under won
- South Dakota Coyotes vs. North Dakota State Bison: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: North Dakota State Bison (-11.5)North Dakota State Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.