Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb7222eb284aba1746029dc38f14986428eec6770ed3aa86bcac90f33a2255f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 2,637$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.61 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 76c | 2,085$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.35 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 73c | 177.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 75c | 169.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 76c | 117.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…eb04backed Over | 76c | 66.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 32c | 33.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 33.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 75c | 29.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 74c | 19.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 76c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Blackburn Rovers FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Blackburn Rovers FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Blackburn Rovers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.