CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb807fdc922b121c129e51a6e35b3bc788910b52bfc3ddacc2b140b35a13a5a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morningstarof Morningstar, The Huns Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727d…1589backed The Huns Esports | 2c | 4,443$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked The Huns Esports | 36c | 3,348$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…97f5backed Morningstar | 66c | 1,593$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed The Huns Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed The Huns Esports | 59c | 675.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…359abacked Morningstar | 60c | 637.03$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Morningstar | 69c | 571.22$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed Morningstar | 47c | 441.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Morningstar | 69c | 414.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.86 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed The Huns Esports | 68c | 343.83$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.68 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed The Huns Esports | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…a72bbacked Morningstar | 47c | 308.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked The Huns Esports | 27c | 305.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Morningstar | 56c | 298.21$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Morningstar | 61c | 271.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked The Huns Esports | 31c | 223.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Morningstar | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Morningstar | 46c | 196.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d6…ed47backed Morningstar | 49c | 179.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfda5…53d7backed Morningstar | 59c | 169.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked The Huns Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed The Huns Esports | 42c | 125.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf081…abb6backed Morningstar | 34c | 116.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Morningstar | 46c | 112.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Morningstar | 46c | 109.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…ca9fbacked The Huns Esports | 43c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked The Huns Esports | 46c | 60.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe7…6ab1backed Morningstar | 45c | 57.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…3550backed Morningstar | 64c | 54.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked The Huns Esports | 46c | 54.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…af48backed Morningstar | 69c | 44.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…b7adbacked The Huns Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Morningstar | 63c | 41.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…f647backed Morningstar | 65c | 23.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6a…26c6backed The Huns Esports | 55c | 22.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0821…7a88backed Morningstar | 73c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Morningstar | 59c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - Zhi-Tech Elite Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs The Huns Esports - Map 2 WinnerMorningstar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.