Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Desert Vipers vs Gulf Giants (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbcedc7d55b92a08c285990f54b69eee4cad4083b5b030990d161a7540b1a768
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Desert Vipersof Desert Vipers, Gulf Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Desert Vipers | 37c | 1,482$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.87 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Gulf Giants | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Gulf Giants | 79c | 1,040$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.85 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Desert Vipers | 9c | 972.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Desert Vipers | 76c | 812.93$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.31 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Desert Vipers | 14c | 346$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.99 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Desert Vipers | 39c | 268.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Desert Vipers | 19c | 267.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Desert Vipers | 40c | 202.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Desert Vipers | 14c | 110$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Gulf Giants | 75c | 107.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Gulf Giants | 51c | 100.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Desert Vipers | 52c | 67.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Gulf Giants | 51c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Desert Vipers | 76c | 50.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Desert Vipers | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Gulf Giants | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Gulf Giants | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Desert Vipers | 39c | 31.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Gulf Giants | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Gulf Giants | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Desert Vipers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.