Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbda2c45b2e75048d4f90a04f077de9f7b48b1204efc8d36519879260412449d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rams Başakşehir FKof Kasımpaşa SK, Rams Başakşehir FK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9dc…0ea5backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 1,059$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…9bb2backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 993$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…3393backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 987$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ac…9a94backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 983$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…7834backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 971$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…7d95backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 957$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…45f8backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 944$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…d282backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 942$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…a1cdbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 934$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…99ffbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 932$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…f582backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 930$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…c3e6backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 929$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…b9d9backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 924$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…ff16backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 920$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…02f9backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 915$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…cf48backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 913$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…ee79backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 913$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b64…4b55backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 913$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…256cbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 911$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…f836backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 908$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…c67fbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 906$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…087ebacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 902$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…bc67backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 901$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…bb6cbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 898.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…00aabacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 890$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…2864backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 888$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35f…da6cbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 885$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…8e3abacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 881$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…795abacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 770$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…107abacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 766$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…f93bbacked Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 762$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…dfa7backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 736$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kasımpaşa SK | 5c | 533.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kasımpaşa SK | 6c | 172.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.