Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d56ddf51f7aaa5c6d978a048d061f1eef761e4d7f535d98a6597aa2f18a8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 41c | 2,606$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.24 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 1,780$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.68 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 1,252$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.04 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 724.73$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.69 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 503.91$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 321.97$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Under | 36c | 267.32$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 48c | 256.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 29c | 181.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…dc37backed Under | 68c | 172.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 54c | 166.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 32c | 152.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 67c | 148.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 33c | 147.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 141.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 34c | 122.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 75c | 80.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 32c | 74.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Under | 57c | 59.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 49c | 58.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 68c | 34.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Over | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 64c | 27.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 51c | 24.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 23.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 51c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.