MLB · resolved market
Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc5920674577c66841e2f136af489f0d6089ad2c1d31ae7e67514e211644ebe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockies | 47c | 4,997$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.62 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 58c | 3,280$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.4 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Dodgers | 31c | 741.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.94 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Dodgers | 47c | 719.43$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.3 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Rockies | 41c | 540.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.61 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…9decbacked Rockies | 66c | 498.48$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Rockies | 39c | 495$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 383$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockies | 55c | 336.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Dodgers | 39c | 113.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…9718backed Dodgers | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Dodgers | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Dodgers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3433…6479backed Dodgers | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Rockies | 57c | 22.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Rockies vs. DodgersDodgers won
- Rockies vs. Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.