Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Juan Bautista Torres vs Mariano Kestelboim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc603a58e57ad7b86f197da862a570dbf83418cf1cd14dcbfd954b611bef3cd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torresof Torres, Kestelboim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Torres | 79c | 995.04$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kestelboim | 22c | 582.59$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kestelboim | 27c | 411.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Kestelboim | 18c | 395.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Torres | 71c | 355.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kestelboim | 28c | 292.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kestelboim | 21c | 252.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kestelboim | 22c | 198$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Torres | 73c | 164.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kestelboim | 30c | 146.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Torres | 72c | 125.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Kestelboim | 27c | 111.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Torres | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Kestelboim | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Torres | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kestelboim | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Torres | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Kestelboim | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kestelboim | 34c | 40.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Torres | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…48abbacked Torres | 73c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Torres | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.