NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6cf338abddc8bf52d989fd890f097d2f103ff0221ee98aee047460a33cd9a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9094…8f26backed Under | 45c | 6,816$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 55c | 5,906$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.3 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 43c | 4,907$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.62 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…0375backed Over | 58c | 3,829$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…2424backed Over | 56c | 3,291$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c1…8522backed Over | 57c | 2,987$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…be69backed Under | 44c | 1,902$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 1,557$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.52 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 42c | 714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…3371backed Under | 45c | 690$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…e99abacked Under | 45c | 669.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 41c | 510$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.9 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 43c | 108.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…0a96backed Over | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. WildWild won
- Predators vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.