NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16abedeb4b59c9df3271137ef73cc6fa63ff2730afe06493e757d3c8c11672d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Wild, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9804…fa5ebacked Wild | 44c | 5,348$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…0b8dbacked Predators | 56c | 5,348$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…cb66backed Predators | 56c | 4,862$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27eb…1cf4backed Wild | 44c | 4,862$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…7497backed Predators | 56c | 2,782$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…88f8backed Wild | 44c | 2,782$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…3251backed Predators | 56c | 2,716$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…1fccbacked Wild | 44c | 2,716$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Wild | 45c | 1,701$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.54 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Predators | 55c | 1,519$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.73 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…be69backed Wild | 44c | 1,504$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…63c2backed Predators | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd952…d26cbacked Predators | 56c | 1,022$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c6…71bfbacked Wild | 44c | 571$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1606…2424backed Predators | 56c | 566$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c05dbacked Predators | 56c | 563$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…3371backed Wild | 44c | 558$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f0…e99abacked Wild | 44c | 541$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Predators | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Wild | 44c | 131.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Predators | 56c | 131.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 54c | 82.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Predators | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…2a46backed Wild | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…99a4backed Wild | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…8447backed Predators | 62c | 19.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. WildWild won
- Predators vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.