Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc8e2a05a733e4ab2548f37a738835170983ec2e607978d4d0edb883e06b7bc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 40,000$18,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,208.39 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 19,881$9,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,735.74 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 69c | 12,838$8,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.67 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 44c | 4,137$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.78 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 3,454$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.77 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 46c | 1,859$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.19 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,726$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 883.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 44c | 833.36$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes | 57c | 753.68$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 46c | 743.43$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 16c | 571.01$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 14c | 541.55$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 56c | 537.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 44c | 269.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.82 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 69c | 218.37$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 56c | 207.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…1ec7backed Yes | 16c | 141.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 46c | 119$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 56c | 97.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 46.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yes | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Yes | 59c | 23.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…6dd1backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…d5cabacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will FC Groningen vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.