Tennis · resolved market
Boss Open: Fritz vs. Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcae8e8ae756faabc3dbdf5f0c96fa91d03d379de86d8dd26b5010fe74ab0501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Fritz | 71c | 6,391$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Halys | 29c | 4,763$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.34 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…38eabacked Fritz | 72c | 2,428$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Halys | 6c | 2,101$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Halys | 28c | 1,789$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Halys | 29c | 1,503$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.8 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Halys | 28c | 1,049$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.85 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Halys | 12c | 888$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Fritz | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Halys | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fritz | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Halys | 32c | 379.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…7325backed Halys | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Fritz | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Halys | 31c | 278.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…04b1backed Halys | 7c | 150.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Fritz | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Halys | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Halys | 27c | 66.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Fritz | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Halys | 30c | 43.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Fritz | 70c | 43.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fa…c2acbacked Fritz | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.