Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth vs. Drexel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb6a795b1f26bdb785a633d2f2682b6e47e94f925bef1f9dcedfc6dfb56d801
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drexelof Monmouth, Drexel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monmouth | 20c | 1,041$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.66 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…8544backed Drexel | 79c | 154$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…3a02backed Drexel | 79c | 139$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…c537backed Drexel | 79c | 137$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb51…3ed9backed Drexel | 79c | 135$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…cce0backed Drexel | 79c | 121$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Drexel | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…6777backed Drexel | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4c…00d3backed Drexel | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…4189backed Drexel | 79c | 66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3787…aa50backed Monmouth | 21c | 66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab8…e594backed Drexel | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…95f7backed Monmouth | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…45cbbacked Drexel | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…ae4cbacked Drexel | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…599cbacked Monmouth | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…3ab5backed Monmouth | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…1ff7backed Monmouth | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…99bebacked Monmouth | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…ab5abacked Drexel | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c1…fcbcbacked Drexel | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…7ae6backed Drexel | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…7f7bbacked Monmouth | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Drexel | 67c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…abebbacked Monmouth | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.