Europa Conference League · resolved market
Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcc4fa8cd123a7c40df28aa5c1e7679e8f92ed0b9f5a362b8f5bd69a7ba9284e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 2,645$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.76 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,040$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.56 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 55c | 987.51$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.31 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 32c | 348.86$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 158.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 44c | 103.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 73c | 56.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 74c | 53.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 78c | 43.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 32.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 32.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 41c | 32.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 33c | 30.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 26.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…8941backed Yes | 59c | 23.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 21.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed No | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 78c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: ETO FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rīga FC vs. ETO FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rīga FC (-1.5)ETO FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.