Tennis · resolved market
Laura Siegemund vs. Viktoriya Tomova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd062393e9331d8ebe48fd5e6974e795b950652282d09eee941afd47325f2679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Over 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9308…1717backed Under 2.5 | 48c | 1,237$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 994$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 728.76$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.38 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over 2.5 | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over 2.5 | 53c | 349.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over 2.5 | 52c | 265.15$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 45c | 233.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under 2.5 | 30c | 115.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Under 2.5 | 50c | 100.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…8a24backed Under 2.5 | 61c | 99.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Over 2.5 | 61c | 94.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over 2.5 | 59c | 90.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under 2.5 | 21c | 86.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Over 2.5 | 55c | 64.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 47.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over 2.5 | 54c | 34.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over 2.5 | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Laura Siegemund vs. Viktoriya Tomova: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Laura Siegemund vs Viktoriya TomovaLaura Siegemund won
- Set 1 Winner: Siegemund vs TomovaTomova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.