La Liga · resolved market
SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd2f078ca3119d3eeb520fdb19630abf01796388666d7319f668b92afb7db31b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 35c | 2,579$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.18 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 1,873$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.5 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 39c | 1,139$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.53 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 65c | 1,003$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.85 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 64c | 620.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…f39bbacked Over | 64c | 461.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 36c | 423$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 301.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 242.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 36c | 211.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 201.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.04 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 36c | 41.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 48cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 66c | 39.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 38.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 65c | 21.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 62c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Over | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 73c | 15.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5this page
- SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- SD Eibar vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-1.5)Real Valladolid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.