Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Presbyterian Blue Hose (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd557da736e7ab57606c26de62fd7969aea684ee4e1964a36cd0840a863c97b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Presbyterian Blue Hoseof Presbyterian Blue Hose, Longwood Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Longwood Lancers | 54c | 13,646$7,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,368.79 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 7,365$3,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.32 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose | 45c | 2,314$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.91 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Longwood Lancers | 55c | 2,280$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.04 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 2,280$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.2 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 2,091$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.96 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Longwood Lancers | 55c | 800.56$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.31 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 646.5$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.11 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 527.37$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.78 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 265.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Longwood Lancers | 55c | 200.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 45c | 193.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 132.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Presbyterian Blue Hose | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 65.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Presbyterian Blue Hose | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Presbyterian Blue Hose | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Longwood Lancers | 55c | 39.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Presbyterian Blue Hose (-3.5)this page
- Longwood Lancers vs. Presbyterian Blue HosePresbyterian Blue Hose won
- Longwood Lancers vs. Presbyterian Blue Hose: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.