Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aschaffenburg: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Teodora Kostovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddb02bd26ae5e8d23a22df0b546bbd68ebd23a1c5b22a68d7a3849eb727dc8ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ekaterine Gorgodzeof Ekaterine Gorgodze, Teodora Kostovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Teodora Kostovic | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Teodora Kostovic | 6c | 894.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Teodora Kostovic | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 715.03$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.62 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 26c | 659.45$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.12 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 57c | 228.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Teodora Kostovic | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 49c | 86.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 84.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 27c | 72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Teodora Kostovic | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 78c | 64.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed Teodora Kostovic | 41c | 52.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Teodora Kostovic | 72c | 42.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Teodora Kostovic | 48c | 33.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Ekaterine Gorgodze | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Teodora Kostovic | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Teodora Kostovic | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ekaterine Gorgodze | 50c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Teodora Kostovic | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Teodora Kostovic | 71c | 19.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Teodora Kostovic | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.