CS2 · resolved market
IEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddfe280c308f23fd6756112c6277fb02d0fdfb5610511231fa88a108ee08d894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f7…3a4fbacked Liquid | 3c | 1,787$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Liquid | 3c | 1,036$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…dc7fbacked Liquid | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1de…9165backed Liquid | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…7f60backed Liquid | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Liquid | 14c | 902.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked MOUZ | 75c | 830.37$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.12 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Liquid | 33c | 773.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb93…77b9backed MOUZ | 67c | 755$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Liquid | 9c | 625.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liquid | 31c | 595.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.55 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked MOUZ | 68c | 584.21$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc26…a4b1backed Liquid | 33c | 570$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…9fdcbacked MOUZ | 66c | 515$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed Liquid | 32c | 499.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed MOUZ | 67c | 448.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b83…970dbacked MOUZ | 67c | 435$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed MOUZ | 70c | 430$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed Liquid | 35c | 377.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…b8a3backed MOUZ | 67c | 355$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Liquid | 24c | 325.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Liquid | 10c | 315.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 646 | 52.8%341 W · 305 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…9560backed MOUZ | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Liquid | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Liquid | 35c | 245.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…0210backed Liquid | 33c | 215$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed MOUZ | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid | 32c | 199.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…0ed3backed MOUZ | 67c | 195$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…6892backed Liquid | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…3c82backed MOUZ | 66c | 155$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…2f83backed MOUZ | 67c | 155$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…4275backed MOUZ | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 149.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed MOUZ | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Liquid | 32c | 147.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Liquid | 33c | 133.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…5b2abacked Liquid | 35c | 102.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Liquid | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Liquid | 33c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed Liquid | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…2161backed Liquid | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Liquid | 23c | 94.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Liquid | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed MOUZ | 67c | 74.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1375backed MOUZ | 66c | 72.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed MOUZ | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…4cbbbacked MOUZ | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bde…a062backed MOUZ | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Liquid | 34c | 57.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Liquid | 34c | 55.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7a…e5d7backed MOUZ | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Liquid | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Liquid | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed MOUZ | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c60…e152backed MOUZ | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…c560backed MOUZ | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…9d46backed MOUZ | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…61f0backed MOUZ | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.