Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Semen Pankin vs Ilya Snitari
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde05fd7bf79eed5f40fc9e8ce3183a7b127bf2da256a3964c9a0542c0450cf5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Semen Pankinof Semen Pankin, Ilya Snitari
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Semen Pankin | 52c | 1,092$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.38 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Ilya Snitari | 48c | 425.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ilya Snitari | 48c | 350$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ilya Snitari | 70c | 330.78$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.24 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ilya Snitari | 48c | 125.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Semen Pankin | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Semen Pankin | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilya Snitari | 53c | 103.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ilya Snitari | 48c | 100.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ilya Snitari | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Semen Pankin | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Ilya Snitari | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Semen Pankin | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Semen Pankin | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Semen Pankin | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Semen Pankin | 59c | 34.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Ilya Snitari | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.