Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0a2a782dfa81412048cf975ca5d141b16dbebe013c28b9bee4077bd9544fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Marist Red Foxes, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed Marist Red Foxes | 53c | 4,467$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.58 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Siena Saints | 46c | 3,720$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.8 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Siena Saints | 47c | 3,238$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.08 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 2,465$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.77 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Siena Saints | 46c | 2,273$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.74 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 2,170$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.79 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Marist Red Foxes | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 45c | 771.38$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Siena Saints | 47c | 702.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.13 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Marist Red Foxes | 55c | 599.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Siena Saints | 45c | 507.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.36 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Marist Red Foxes | 55c | 320$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Siena Saints | 46c | 248$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Siena Saints | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Siena Saints | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Siena Saints | 45c | 107.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Marist Red Foxes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marist Red Foxes | 55c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Siena Saints | 50c | 39.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Siena Saints | 45c | 30.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Marist Red Foxes | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marist Red Foxes (-1.5)this page
- Siena Saints vs. Marist Red FoxesSiena Saints won
- Siena Saints vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5Under won
- Siena Saints vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 134.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.