Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fuego vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde19154136667cf4ce1e1ab3a000f1e5f93fd8b1b0004492ff63515ee22cb9b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof Fuego, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Fuego | 61c | 642.14$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LYON | 38c | 504.67$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LYON | 56c | 331.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.07 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Fuego | 14c | 159.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LYON | 26c | 128.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fuego | 52c | 120.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LYON | 38c | 119.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed LYON | 49c | 113.64$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fuego | 68c | 59.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fuego | 49c | 58.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fuego | 41c | 56.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked LYON | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked LYON | 40c | 50.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed LYON | 39c | 38.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Fuego | 74c | 32.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed Fuego | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked LYON | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Fuego | 43c | 23.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked LYON | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed LYON | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fuego vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Seasonthis page
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LYON (-5.5) vs Fuego (+5.5)Fuego won
- Valorant: Fuego vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.