Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: IJC (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde7479a61125ab9da3c190c7116ddb5cd4d5f7318f83b903ba52a5ec8eb48b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esprit Shōnenof Ici Japon Corp. Esport, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 36c | 1,284$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.24 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Esprit Shōnen | 64c | 999.51$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 998.89$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 35c | 642$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.12 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Esprit Shōnen | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 36c | 258$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 39c | 246.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 61c | 246.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 39c | 100.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 60c | 83.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Esprit Shōnen | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…8011backed Ici Japon Corp. Esport | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: IJC (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsEsprit Shōnen won
- LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 1 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
- LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport - Game 2 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.