Tennis · resolved market
ITF Milano: Viktor Durasovic vs Jacopo Bilardo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde88fdf42a8d119eddd9c621e8954ec5aaf719ae2a002f56b75f926bb79bd740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Viktor Durasovicof Viktor Durasovic, Jacopo Bilardo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Viktor Durasovic | 68c | 1,662$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.84 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Jacopo Bilardo | 33c | 999.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jacopo Bilardo | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jacopo Bilardo | 50c | 493.96$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Viktor Durasovic | 49c | 288.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Viktor Durasovic | 69c | 218.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jacopo Bilardo | 31c | 152.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jacopo Bilardo | 42c | 144.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Viktor Durasovic | 34c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Viktor Durasovic | 50c | 116.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Viktor Durasovic | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacopo Bilardo | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jacopo Bilardo | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Jacopo Bilardo | 32c | 48.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Jacopo Bilardo | 34c | 44.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jacopo Bilardo | 52c | 23.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Jacopo Bilardo | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.