South American Leagues · resolved market
Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde975cd1d2e7dfbc2653611d6f78b2abebdf0925b7e49409b9a04ba51f1dd98d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 49c | 6,258$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.52 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.93 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 2,275$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.8 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 2,043$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.18 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,617$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…5582backed Over | 54c | 928.48$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 916.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.7 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 54c | 889.23$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.17 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 856.61$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 50c | 381.32$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.66 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 181.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 79c | 154.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 151.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 55c | 113.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 48c | 67.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…61fabacked Over | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 52.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 49c | 46.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…17c4backed Over | 53c | 25.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5this page
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.