Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DOG (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde9f9a7b7e385e9676e246ebba4ef9380a5863d6ca7badca513843adaed3ca65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Apex Mission Impossibleof Dorado Gaming, Apex Mission Impossible
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 55c | 4,528$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.52 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Dorado Gaming | 52c | 2,259$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.92 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Apex Mission Impossible | 56c | 1,299$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.64 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dorado Gaming | 44c | 1,256$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.43 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Dorado Gaming | 45c | 957.2$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.76 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 45c | 883$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.65 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Dorado Gaming | 41c | 637.75$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.48 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Dorado Gaming | 41c | 579.37$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.54 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 43c | 147.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Apex Mission Impossible | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dorado Gaming | 41c | 75.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Apex Mission Impossible | 57c | 69.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dorado Gaming | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Dorado Gaming | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Apex Mission Impossible | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 44.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Dorado Gaming | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Dorado Gaming | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Apex Mission Impossible | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Apex Mission Impossible | 56c | 22.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Apex Mission Impossible | 60c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DOG (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonDorado Gaming won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 WinnerApex Mission Impossible won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 2 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.