Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Argentina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea2f56caded882138d3944abcad820aa491208ef4f9b35a1c28e678d80d8082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Mexico, Argentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Mexico | 12c | 8,901$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Mexico | 13c | 5,103$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mexico | 12c | 2,499$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Mexico | 2c | 2,220$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Mexico | 12c | 1,571$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mexico | 16c | 1,417$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Mexico | 12c | 1,309$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mexico | 12c | 1,268$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mexico | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Mexico | 8c | 826.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Mexico | 12c | 708.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mexico | 11c | 690.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Mexico | 9c | 683.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Mexico | 12c | 619.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Mexico | 12c | 586$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Mexico | 12c | 550.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mexico | 17c | 533.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mexico | 10c | 414.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…d36cbacked Mexico | 5c | 310.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Mexico | 12c | 229.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mexico | 10c | 170.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Mexico | 12c | 136$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mexico | 13c | 102.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Mexico | 12c | 89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mexico | 18c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Argentina | 76c | 57.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…ada9backed Argentina | 75c | 53.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Argentina | 76c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7d…b088backed Mexico | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Argentina | 75c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.