Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee9979b4e877949bfa862354b09542ca4a97326f4f411ad52161cb6af82d975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fire Passionof Misa Esports, Eternal Fire Passion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Misa Esports | 44c | 1,179$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.6 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Eternal Fire Passion | 22c | 626.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.34 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 56c | 403.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire Passion | 55c | 281.05$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…67eabacked Misa Esports | 73c | 157.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Misa Esports | 79c | 139.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire Passion | 45c | 93.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 36c | 93.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire Passion | 78c | 88.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Eternal Fire Passion | 54c | 87.79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Eternal Fire Passion | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Eternal Fire Passion | 58c | 19.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group AMisa Esports won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.