Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0db946caca1f4577dee0fe9765a446a7dd4a680c52efc2508695485d98863d

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Eternal Fire Passion
Resolved: Apr 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1b37…1f70backed Eternal Fire Passion	34c	3,496$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.15	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Eternal Fire Passion	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	781	62%484 W · 297 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports	72c	2,481$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.03	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf65…9194backed Misa Esports	66c	2,226$1,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.7	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Misa Esports	66c	1,353$893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.99	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Eternal Fire Passion	24c	1,233$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.19	415	37.1%154 W · 261 L	-26.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Misa Esports	67c	1,073$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.2	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Misa Esports	73c	1,044$764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.11	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Eternal Fire Passion	34c	925.24$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.58	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Misa Esports	66c	919.58$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.49	68	63.2%43 W · 25 L	+10.3wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Misa Esports	66c	842.46$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.44	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Eternal Fire Passion	35c	735.39$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.34	154	31.2%48 W · 106 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Misa Esports	66c	727.15$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.15	610	35.9%219 W · 391 L	-17.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire Passion	18c	677.36$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.21	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Eternal Fire Passion	32c	622.17$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.13	297	33.3%99 W · 198 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Eternal Fire Passion	24c	592$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.86	361	38.5%139 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Misa Esports	66c	570.99$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.14	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports	76c	399.94$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.99	702	51.3%360 W · 342 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Eternal Fire Passion	11c	395.02$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.58	175	37.7%66 W · 109 L	-14.5wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Eternal Fire Passion	27c	368.53$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.89	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire Passion	26c	303.95$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.23	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Eternal Fire Passion	27c	286.86$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.45	132	25%33 W · 99 L	-18.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports	77c	250$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.55	242	50.4%122 W · 120 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Misa Esports	75c	201.61$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.74	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports	77c	182.42$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.29	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Eternal Fire Passion	20c	178.91$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.78	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Misa Esports	66c	167.51$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.95	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Misa Esports	59c	163.37$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.98	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Misa Esports	68c	144.24$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.16	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Eternal Fire Passion	18c	111.87$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	164	42.1%69 W · 95 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Eternal Fire Passion	35c	105.61$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.96	337	53.1%179 W · 158 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Eternal Fire Passion	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.67	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Misa Esports	77c	97.42$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Misa Esports	75c	96.07$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.55	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…66a8backed Eternal Fire Passion	24c	95.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Eternal Fire Passion	38c	91.84$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Misa Esports	73c	90$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.91	176	54.5%96 W · 80 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Eternal Fire Passion	23c	83.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…68ecbacked Eternal Fire Passion	23c	67.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.28	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed Eternal Fire Passion	24c	59.65$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.32	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-6.7wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-53%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Misa Esports	80c	59.28$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.86	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports	68c	57.02$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.39	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Eternal Fire Passion	29c	49.78$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	202	48.5%98 W · 104 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Eternal Fire Passion	34c	48.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports	59c	45.84$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Eternal Fire Passion	34c	44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	438	43.6%191 W · 247 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Eternal Fire Passion	34c	43.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	179	48%86 W · 93 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Misa Esports	77c	41.36$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.38	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports	68c	35.9$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.46	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Misa Esports	62c	34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e96…f2debacked Misa Esports	66c	28.31$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Misa Esports	77c	24.65$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.77	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10f…c59fbacked Misa Esports	79c	24.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.12	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	78cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Misa Esports	66c	24$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.16	88	28.4%25 W · 63 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed Misa Esports	63c	23.28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.61	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Misa Esports	74c	21.5$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.62	219	51.6%113 W · 106 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Misa Esports	78c	21.36$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Misa Esports	66c	19.86$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	174	48.3%84 W · 90 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Misa Esports	66c	19.59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.66	112	48.2%54 W · 58 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports	74c	14.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.66	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group Athis page
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire Passion won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Eternal Fire Passion (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event