Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2cb0ded482ba5e01b7f14ab11fe0db3272fa2cc082c57b4e8722c4e909bd03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,738 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 2,289$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.53 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 2,046$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.32 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 872.1$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.75 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 825.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 572$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 384.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 374.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.07 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 325$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 225.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…da1abacked Nemiga Gaming | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 172.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed Nemiga Gaming | 12c | 150.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 133.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 123.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 119.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 114.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 113.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Zero Tenacity | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 97.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…01a8backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 91.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Zero Tenacity | 73c | 67.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 41.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 26c | 41.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 36.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc332…59a9backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Zero Tenacity | 76c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.